Reading this population figure
Kerala has a projected population of 3,62,07,000 for 1 March 2026 in the government’s 2011–2036 series. This is a modelled figure published in July 2020, not a new enumeration or a live count.
Its projection ranks 15 among the 36 current state/UT units in this collection. Its share of the published national projection is 2.54%, calculated from the source values.
The 2026 projection shows 18,812,000 females and 17,395,000 males in Kerala. These are the report’s projected sex-specific population columns; they are different measures from a fertility rate or a sex ratio at birth.
105.02% reported penetration; 3,80,24,123 estimated living holders. UIDAI uses recorded addresses and an estimated-deaths adjustment, with its own projection denominator.
Read the Aadhaar table and definitionsUsing it to size a market
Define the people or households relevant to the product before estimating demand. A population total does not establish category adoption, purchasing power or the area that a business can actually serve.
For Kerala, keep the projection’s date in your working sheet, document the eligible share and spending assumptions, and test how the answer changes. For a local outlet, define a city, district or travel-time catchment instead of using the whole state or union territory.
Start a scenario for KeralaThe Census 2011 reference
The historical Kerala profile records 3,34,06,061 people in Census 2011. Read it on its original boundaries; do not assume the old and new geographic units are identical.
Open the detailed Census 2011 profileMigration, visitors and household context
Resident population, migrants, commuters and tourist visits describe different populations or activities. Use migration evidence to examine usual residence; use tourism releases for visits. Neither should simply be added to this projected population.