Reading this population figure
Goa has a projected population of 15,99,000 for 1 March 2026 in the government’s 2011–2036 series. This is a modelled figure published in July 2020, not a new enumeration or a live count.
Its projection ranks 29 among the 36 current state/UT units in this collection. Its share of the published national projection is 0.11%, calculated from the source values.
Goa has an internal source discrepancy: Table 8 projects 1,599,000 people for 2026, while Table 21 prints 1,598,000. This profile retains the requested Table 8 value and exposes both figures so the difference remains visible.
The published male and female values sum to 1,000 fewer people than the Persons value. All three values are retained as printed in thousands.
The same report’s Table 21 (printed page 260 / PDF page 266) gives 1,598,000 for Goa in 2026, while Table 8 gives 1,599,000. This profile uses Table 8 consistently and flags the discrepancy.
102.26% reported penetration; 16,35,187 estimated living holders. UIDAI uses recorded addresses and an estimated-deaths adjustment, with its own projection denominator.
Read the Aadhaar table and definitionsUsing it to size a market
Define the people or households relevant to the product before estimating demand. A population total does not establish category adoption, purchasing power or the area that a business can actually serve.
For Goa, keep the projection’s date in your working sheet, document the eligible share and spending assumptions, and test how the answer changes. For a local outlet, define a city, district or travel-time catchment instead of using the whole state or union territory.
Start a scenario for GoaThe Census 2011 reference
The historical Goa profile records 14,58,545 people in Census 2011. Read it on its original boundaries; do not assume the old and new geographic units are identical.
Open the detailed Census 2011 profileMigration, visitors and household context
Resident population, migrants, commuters and tourist visits describe different populations or activities. Use migration evidence to examine usual residence; use tourism releases for visits. Neither should simply be added to this projected population.